Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 0.039309 0.042760 0.046238 0.049999 0.053947 0.057960 0.062343
2025-10-12 0.033805 0.038898 0.044203 0.050118 0.056503 0.063166 0.070623
2025-10-19 0.029946 0.036249 0.043008 0.050740 0.059288 0.068396 0.078785
2025-10-26 0.026873 0.034090 0.042039 0.051341 0.061833 0.073211 0.086394
2025-11-02 0.022929 0.030581 0.039244 0.049621 0.061562 0.074732 0.090220
2025-11-09 0.020313 0.028367 0.037719 0.049152 0.062533 0.077505 0.095330
2025-11-16 0.018187 0.026553 0.036501 0.048893 0.063626 0.080318 0.100407
2025-11-23 0.017205 0.026049 0.036772 0.050328 0.066638 0.085299 0.107938
2025-11-30 0.016199 0.025426 0.036823 0.051439 0.069226 0.089759 0.114857
2025-12-07 0.015111 0.024608 0.036564 0.052114 0.071246 0.093526 0.120953
2025-12-14 0.013887 0.023520 0.035891 0.052215 0.072526 0.096384 0.125962
2025-12-21 0.013249 0.023175 0.036132 0.053427 0.075138 0.100813 0.132819
2025-12-28 0.011811 0.021653 0.034800 0.052637 0.075301 0.102353 0.136325
2026-01-04 0.010906 0.020826 0.034343 0.052933 0.076793 0.105487 0.141738
2026-01-11 0.010234 0.020290 0.034242 0.053663 0.078812 0.109254 0.147914
2026-01-18 0.009595 0.019756 0.034110 0.054328 0.080732 0.112896 0.153943
2026-01-25 0.008233 0.018006 0.032203 0.052566 0.079502 0.112623 0.155198
2026-02-01 0.007387 0.016999 0.031290 0.052088 0.079884 0.114313 0.158820
2026-02-08 0.006675 0.016152 0.030561 0.051825 0.080515 0.116294 0.162785
2026-02-15 0.006489 0.016178 0.031107 0.053315 0.083442 0.121157 0.170310
2026-02-22 0.006228 0.016054 0.031416 0.054468 0.085925 0.125469 0.177165
2026-03-01 0.005871 0.015733 0.031410 0.055168 0.087801 0.129013 0.183076
2026-03-08 0.005399 0.015164 0.030998 0.055273 0.088872 0.131529 0.187710